How much is 1,237 minus 81? If you said 1,156 you know the number of delegates Donald Trump needs to win the presidential nomination for the Republican Party. That seems like a long road ahead so why is everyone in the media going berserk at the thought of a Trump nomination?
Four out of 50 states have voted. That represents eight percent of the states. Would anyone call an election after eight percent of the precincts have voted? Trump has momentum and time is running out for his opponents. If the polls are accurate Trump has a great chance of owning a third of the delegates required for an uncontested nomination after Super Tuesday on March 1.
The way the Republican primary allocates delegates makes it difficult for anyone to get enough votes for the nomination this early in the process. A more likely occurrence is that Trump will not get the 1,237 delegates he needs for a first ballot victory.
If a candidate does not get the nomination on the first ballot the delegates are released from their obligations to that candidate. That means Trump will need to rely on party operatives to get him the nomination. The same party operatives he is trashing throughout the primary. This should be fun to watch. We may see the first contested Republican convention in 40 years.
I am not a Trump fan. I have stated this numerous times in my blog but I do enjoy watching him drive the political establishment and the mainstream media nuts. They cannot comprehend his popularity which illustrates how completely out of touch they are with the electorate.
A cursory view of opinion pieces in almost any periodical – Conservative or Liberal – will tell anyone why Trump can do no wrong with his supporters. Well, anyone but the political establishment and media.
The New York Daily News ran this headline about the South Carolina Primary “Confederacy of Dunces.” The article implies if you vote for Trump you are either a racist, bigot, homophobe, Xenophobe, or devil worshipper. This elitist approach is the very thing that turns off more voters and makes Trump more of a hero to his supporters.
Bill Kristol, editor of the conservative magazine Weekly Standard, said he would abandon the party if Trump is the nominee. Trump supporters see that as an incentive not a deterrent.
Glen Beck, a conservative talking head said “When we have a candidate that threatens people… This is not American. This is not equal justice. This is not who were are. If we give in to our anger; if we start to go down that path and we start to listen to the bullies, we lose what made us great.” I guess if our Founding Fathers didn’t give in to their anger we would be speaking with English accents.
Watching the political and media elites get hysterical is great fun. These elitists need to be humbled. People are tired of the political class’s arrogance. They have a sense of entitlement to having whomever they choose be elected.
Enter Trump who is unafraid to say what he thinks that attacks his detractors and repeatedly calls them out by name. Those in the media and political class are used to being the bully, not being bullied. Is there anyone alive who doesn’t enjoy watching a bully get bullied? Suddenly, the powerful have become the weak and we are loving the irony because Trump is a bully.
The elitists cannot handle the fact Trump is doing to them what they have done to us. In that regard a part of me wants to see him win. But, much like there is a morning after a drinking binge, we all have to wake up the next day and face the consequences of our actions.
In the somber light of day I want a president who will lead and get things done for the sake of the nation – not himself. President Obama has done enough damage to the nation and, I believe, with malice. I fear Trump, on the other hand, will do damage out of ignorance.
And I do not mean ignorance in terms of him not being smart. No he is intelligent. I mean ignorance in terms of how to get things done when you do not have the power to fire whomever you want whenever you want. He needs to work with the very people he is belittling.
I am reminded of something a former manager once told me: “Far more damage is done through ignorance than malice.”
Anyone who thinks something is easy is doomed to failure. If he fails it’s not just another bankruptcy that he’ll get others to bail him out of – it’s the ruination of a nation. Trump is serving an important purpose in this election cycle. I just don’t want him serving as our president.
However, given the choice of Trump or any Democrat currently running – well, that is the epitome of the lesser of two evils.